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docs(napkin-math): refresh methodology + plan status for 2026-05-22 ship-set#754

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neoneye merged 2 commits into
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May 21, 2026
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docs(napkin-math): refresh methodology + plan status for 2026-05-22 ship-set#754
neoneye merged 2 commits into
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@neoneye neoneye commented May 21, 2026

Summary

Docs-only PR. No code, no prompts, no schema changes.

Test plan

  • Render methology.md on GitHub — section headings, sampling-discipline bullet list, and the audit_source_preservation.py paragraph all read cleanly.
  • Render 20260522_plan.md on GitHub — confirm the Phase status table formats correctly with the new 4.5 row, and the v58 verdict table renders.
  • grep -rn "20260520_plan" . returns no stale references (the rename was hunted for callers).
  • Sanity-check that the new Phase 8 / Phase 9 prioritisation in "Next likely move" matches the reviewer's mental model of what's most load-bearing now that proposal 141 has shipped.

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

neoneye and others added 2 commits May 22, 2026 00:27
…hip-set

Updates two docs to reflect the post-#753 state of the napkin-math pipeline.

methology.md: describe the current pipeline behaviour — two-batch compress with paraphrase-tolerant quote match and cross-bucket promoter; extract's source-arithmetic preservation, threshold-pairing, and dropped_signals field; 19-check validator (added aggregate_not_bounded, requirement_has_margin, dropped_signals_schema); bounds' asymmetric source label on commitment defaults, calculation-output strip, reserved correlations block, reserved lognormal/pert disciplines with loud NotImplementedError; advisory audit_source_preservation.py step.

20260520_plan.md → 20260522_plan.md: bump status date; mark PR #750 merged; add PR #751/#752/#753 entries (proposal 141 implementation); update Phase status table (added 4.5 audit row, reclassified Phase 8 as partially done, Phase 10 marked done for current ship-set); add v58 14-plan empirical snapshot (1 viable / 5 fragile / 8 doom); reorder Next likely move now that proposal 141 has shipped — Phase 5 citation verifier promoted to #1, Phase 8 samplers added as #2 with v58 cases that bite now, Phase 9 composite-band cap as #3.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Three review fixes:

1. plan: update the stale 'No formal source-preservation audit implementation' bullet — Fork B shipped in PR #751/#752/#753; Fork A, orchestrator-side prior-baseline injection, and strict-mode are the actual still-pending follow-ups.

2. plan: bump the document title from 2026-05-20 to 2026-05-22; add an italicised note that the doc was originally drafted 2026-05-20 and renamed/refreshed for the post-#753 ship-set.

3. methology: stop overclaiming what the assessment Basis column exposes. summarize_assessment.py maps source:'data' → 'report_derived' and source:'assumption' → 'model_assumption', and that is what the column shows; the finer 'plan-internal gap forecast vs bare commitment' distinction lives in the rationale string, not the column.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
@neoneye neoneye merged commit 604edb4 into main May 21, 2026
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@neoneye neoneye deleted the napkin-math/docs-2026-05-22-status branch May 21, 2026 22:32
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